Continuing from the recent quarterback and running back ADP outperformers, we’re moving on the wide receiver and tight end edition. This list of players includes those that have a chance at exceeding their current average draft position with the ability to outperform current players being drafted in the same vicinity. Looking at early Fantasy Football Calculator ADP, there are quite a few names that stand out as immediate value plays. We’re still months away from drafting our re-draft teams, but it’s never too early to start looking at inefficiencies in the market and start formulating a plan to use it to our advantage.


The good thing about leading the NFL with 18.0 yards per reception is that it doesn’t take many receptions for you to pay off weekly value. Jones posted just four top-12 weeks last year, but his year-long consistency ultimately led him to finishing as the fantasy WR12 on the year. Buoyed by some big performances, Jones was drafted as a WR3/flex candidate that returned immense value after sporting back-to-back 100-target campaigns. Jones finished the year ninth among all wideouts in average depth of target (16.1 yards) and 17th among all receivers in red-zone targets (15). The Lions spent significant draft capital this offseason improving their offensive line once again, drafting Frank Ragnow with the 20th overall pick as they continue to make moves to aid Matthew Stafford’s longevity in the league:

Last year, Jones commanded just an 18.9 percent target market share. Following the departure of Eric Ebron (86 targets) and the Lions settling for mid-level free agent Luke Willson, Jones’ targets should remain steady with a slight chance of an uptick as those targets get re-distributed. If starting with an RB-heavy approach, Jones makes for a very strong wide receiver candidate (think WR2 with upside) to anchor your lineup around without having to invest more than a late fifth-round pick on him.


Piggy-backing off the Jones selection, it’s difficult to argue against going with each of these receivers back-to-back if your draft position is toward the back end of your drafts. After leading the league in pass play percentage in 2016 (65.99 percent), Baltimore let the run game prevail in 2017 as their passing decreased to just 56.36 percent, 20th-highest in the league. That trend will likely continue in 2018, but it doesn’t mean there aren’t valuable targets up for grabs. In fact, Crabtree enters a Baltimore offense that leads the league in most targets and air yards up for grabs.

Source: Pro Football Focus
Read More

No more articles